Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/2710

Bill Overview

Title: Banking Transparency for Sanctioned Persons Act of 2021

Description: This bill requires the Department of the Treasury to report semiannually on financial services provided to benefit a state sponsor of terrorism or specified sanctioned persons.

Sponsors: Rep. Steil, Bryan [R-WI-1]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals and entities involved with state sponsors of terrorism and specially sanctioned persons

Estimated Size: 5000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Compliance Officer at a multinational bank (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy will certainly increase my workload, as we will have new reporting obligations to track financial services linked to sanctioned individuals.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 8

Financial Analyst (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think this policy adds a level of assurance against illicit financial flow, though it might complicate some of our international dealings.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 9

Retired, previously worked in international finance (Miami, FL)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy continuation strengthens financial security globally; however, it could raise compliance costs affecting investments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Graduate Student in Economics (Houston, TX)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As a researcher, this policy provides valuable data, though its indirect impact on citizens is complex and minimal.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 9

Lawyer specializing in international sanctions (Washington, DC)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a necessary move to ensure financial integrity, though it raises complexity for legal compliance.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 8

Tech Entrepreneur (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might hinder fast-paced fintech innovation due to increased scrutiny, though it's important for national security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 7 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 10

Foreign-exchange trader (Chicago, IL)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More transparency might streamline some operations, but there is potential risk of reduced transaction volumes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

CEO of a charitable organization (Boston, MA)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We might need to adapt to ensure funds aren't affected by expanded sanctions, although transparency is a good practice.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 8

Accountant (Newark, NJ)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This bill would lead to more audits, ultimately meaning more work, but it's good for maintaining legitimate practices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 9

Research analyst for a think tank (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's an important policy for ensuring financial transparency but might also lead to unforeseen diplomatic tensions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 10

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $2500000 (Low: $2000000, High: $3000000)

Year 2: $2500000 (Low: $2000000, High: $3000000)

Year 3: $2600000 (Low: $2100000, High: $3100000)

Year 5: $2700000 (Low: $2200000, High: $3200000)

Year 10: $3000000 (Low: $2500000, High: $3500000)

Year 100: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Key Considerations