Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/2348

Bill Overview

Title: Advancing Conservation and Education Act

Description: This bill allows the states of Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oregon, South Dakota, Utah, Washington, or Wyoming to relinquish state land grant parcels wholly or primarily within eligible areas and select, in exchange, public land within the state. Eligible areas are areas within the outer boundaries of units or components of the National Park, National Wilderness Preservation, National Wildlife Refuge, or National Landscape Conservation Systems, areas identified by the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) as having wilderness characteristics, certain designated lands within the National Forest System or administered by the BLM, and sentinel landscapes designated by the Department of Agriculture, Department of Defense, or Department of the Interior. Interior shall create a process for the relinquishment of such parcels. States may select in exchange, and Interior may convey, lands that are mineral in character. The overall value of the state land grant parcels and the public land to be conveyed shall be equal or made equal. The bill sets forth requirements regarding hazardous materials on land to be conveyed, water rights, grazing permits, road rights-of-ways, and protection of Indian rights.

Sponsors: Rep. Stewart, Chris [R-UT-2]

Target Audience

Population: People living in or near public lands in 13 states, land management and related industries, tribal communities and recreational users.

Estimated Size: 8500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Park Ranger (Alaska)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about how these changes might affect our parks and local wildlife.
  • If managed well, this policy could improve land management, but we need to ensure conservation efforts aren't compromised.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Mineral Extraction Project Manager (New Mexico)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could open new opportunities for our industry, especially in accessing mineral-rich lands.
  • We must balance resource development with environmental stewardship.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 9 3
Year 20 8 4

Retired School Teacher (Montana)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this doesn't limit our access to beautiful hiking trails.
  • Conservation is crucial, but changes to land management worry me about future generations' access to nature.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Tribal Land Liaison (Arizona)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any changes to land management need to respect historical and cultural land rights of indigenous peoples.
  • I'm cautiously optimistic but wary about potential land disputes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

State Land Management Official (Colorado)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could streamline some of our transactions and enhance our conservation projects.
  • The key is ensuring equal value exchanges to benefit both the state and conservation efforts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 9 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Wildlife Conservationist (South Dakota)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • There's potential for positive impacts on habitats depending on how land exchanges are managed.
  • The policy must safeguard wildlife protection over resource extraction.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 6

Outdoor Recreational Guide (Washington)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As long as the public retains access, this policy could work.
  • However, I worry about losing trails and increased privatization of lands.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Local Government Official (Oregon)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could offer opportunities to better align land use with local needs.
  • We need rigorous oversight to ensure that the value exchange is fair and communities benefit.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Agricultural Manager (Idaho)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We could potentially benefit from acquiring more usable land.
  • However, I worry about how this will affect local ecosystems and my community's environment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Environmental Activist (Wyoming)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could be disastrous if managed poorly, compromising public land for industrial gains.
  • I'm skeptical, but there might be room to ensure these exchanges label more areas as protected.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 7 3
Year 20 7 3

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 2: $5200000 (Low: $3200000, High: $7200000)

Year 3: $5400000 (Low: $3400000, High: $7400000)

Year 5: $5800000 (Low: $3800000, High: $7800000)

Year 10: $6000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $8000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations