Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/1975

Bill Overview

Title: Pala Band of Mission Indians Land Transfer Act of 2021

Description: 2021 This bill directs the Department of the Interior to take approximately 721.12 acres of land in San Diego County, California, into trust for the benefit of the Pala Band of Mission Indians, if the tribe transfers title to that land to the United States. The land is made part of the Pala Indian Reservation. The bill generally prohibits gaming on any of the land taken into trust.

Sponsors: Rep. Issa, Darrell E. [R-CA-50]

Target Audience

Population: Pala Band of Mission Indians

Estimated Size: 16

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Tribal leader (Pala Indian Reservation, California)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 1/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This land transfer strengthens our cultural and spiritual ties to the land.
  • Having control over the land without the pressure of gaming gives us a chance to focus on sustainable development.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 10 6

Cultural liaison (Pala Indian Reservation, California)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 1/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The land transfer provides more opportunities for cultural education and preservation.
  • It's crucial we develop the land in harmony with our traditions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 4

Environmental Scientist (San Diego County, California)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about how the land management will affect local ecosystems.
  • There's a potential positive impact in seeing more land preserved and managed sustainably.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Small business owner (Pala Indian Reservation, California)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 1/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The transfer could increase regional foot traffic, benefiting my business.
  • The gaming prohibition limits new business avenues, but stability is more important.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 8 3

Real estate agent (Escondido, California)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any land transfer can shift real estate dynamics in the area.
  • I expect neutral effects unless new policies are introduced.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 5

Educator (Pala Indian Reservation, California)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 1/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • With more control over resources, we can plan better educational initiatives.
  • It's empowering for our youth to see land returned to tribal hands.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 10 4

University student (San Diego, California)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Observing how land return impacts tribal governance can be insightful for policy development.
  • It's a chance to learn from real-world applications of land trust.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Community advocate (San Diego County, California)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This land transfer supports justice for Native communities.
  • Collaboration is key; benefits can extend beyond their reservation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Casino developer (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 58 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The prohibition on gaming might limit possible expansion.
  • I'd like to explore other partnership potential with the tribe.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Policy analyst (Sacramento, California)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a model for similar policies nationwide.
  • Monitoring its impact on local and broader levels is essential.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $350000 (Low: $300000, High: $400000)

Year 2: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations