Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/1934

Bill Overview

Title: Promoting United States International Leadership in 5G Act of 2021

Description: This bill requires actions to increase U.S. influence in international organizations that develop and set standards for wireless telecommunications, such as fifth-generation (5G) technology, and to address the role of China's government in such standards-setting organizations. (Such organizations, with the involvement of stakeholders such as equipment manufacturers, develop and set standards for certain technologies to ensure interoperability between different companies' products.) The President must establish an interagency working group to work with allies and international partners to increase and align their engagement in standards-setting organizations, such as the International Telecommunication Union, that address standards and issues pertaining to communications networks, including 5G technology. The Department of State must, in coordination with the working group, develop and implement a strategy to work with allies and partners and monitor efforts by China's government (and affiliated entities) to control or influence such organizations. The working group must provide a briefing to Congress on (1) a strategy for diplomatic engagement with allies and partners to cooperate on addressing security risks in 5G and future generation mobile telecommunications systems, and (2) the presence and activities of China's government in international standards-setting organizations.

Sponsors: Rep. McCaul, Michael T. [R-TX-10]

Target Audience

Population: People reliant on 5G wireless telecommunications standards globally

Estimated Size: 331000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Telecommunications Engineer (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The U.S. taking a lead in 5G standards is crucial for our industry.
  • This policy could open more international projects and collaborations for us.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 9 6

Software Developer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having stronger U.S. influence in 5G standards means more opportunities for innovation.
  • It makes me more optimistic about job stability in the tech industry.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

National Security Advisor (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 58 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is essential to counter China's influence in global 5G technology.
  • It aligns with our goals of safeguarding national security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Graduate Student (Austin, TX)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this policy will help U.S. businesses and graduates entering the field to have a more positive outlook.
  • Positions related to 5G could become more lucrative with more international presence.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Policy Analyst (Chicago, IL)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am supportive of measures that engage globally in 5G standards setting.
  • Monitoring China's activities is a strategic move, but requires delicate diplomacy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Small Business Owner (Kansas City, MO)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 17/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could indirectly enhance the quality of devices we sell, but it's a bit abstract for someone in my position.
  • I'm more concerned about consumer purchasing power.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Unemployed (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies like these used to be part of my professional focus, so I still follow them.
  • Could provide some peace of mind regarding the future security of our networks.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 4
Year 2 4 4
Year 3 4 4
Year 5 4 4
Year 10 4 4
Year 20 4 4

Tech Journalist (Miami, FL)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The emphasis on U.S. participation in international standards is important for industry coverage.
  • It may create more content to cover as relations and regulations evolve.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Consumer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 27 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 20/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I mostly care about how fast my internet and mobile network works.
  • I hope the policies translate to better connectivity and prices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

International Relations Specialist (Houston, TX)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could create more favorable conditions for U.S. companies internationally.
  • Wish there was more clear information on how it would operate practically.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $75000000 (Low: $60000000, High: $90000000)

Year 2: $70000000 (Low: $56000000, High: $84000000)

Year 3: $60000000 (Low: $48000000, High: $72000000)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations