Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/164

Bill Overview

Title: To authorize the Seminole Tribe of Florida to lease or transfer certain land, and for other purposes.

Description: This bill allows the Seminole Tribe of Florida to lease, sell, convey, warrant, or transfer its real property that is not held in trust by the United States.

Sponsors: Rep. Soto, Darren [D-FL-9]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals associated with the Seminole Tribe of Florida and potential external stakeholders

Estimated Size: 4000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Seminole Tribe Member and Business Owner (Tampa, Florida)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think the ability to lease or sell land could bring in new business opportunities for the tribe.
  • There are some concerns about maintaining cultural sites and ensuring that we don’t lose our heritage.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 5 5

Real Estate Agent (Fort Lauderdale, Florida)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could open up a niche market for real estate deals which previously weren't possible.
  • I'm optimistic about increased property transactions but cautious about the tribe’s interest rates.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Legal Consultant for Tribal Affairs (Miami, Florida)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could streamline legal processes and provide the tribe with greater autonomy.
  • Need to ensure protective measures for cultural and historical sites.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Environmental Scientist (Orlando, Florida)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My concern is that increased land sales could lead to habitat loss if not sustainably managed.
  • This policy doesn't explicitly address environmental safeguards, which worries me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 4 4
Year 20 3 4

Retired (Naples, Florida)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see potential for development, but it must be balanced with the tribe's cultural objectives.
  • Would prefer to see collaborative projects that benefit both the tribe and outside communities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Community Organizer (Jacksonville, Florida)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Empowering tribes with more control over their land is a positive step for self-governance.
  • It's critical to involve community voices in decision making to avoid negative social impacts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Environmental Policy Advocate (Fort Myers, Florida)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Concerned about potential environmental impact without clear guidelines.
  • Would advocate for a policy that includes safeguards for natural habitats.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 4 4

Tourism Business Owner (Key West, Florida)

Age: 54 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased land access could enhance tourism opportunities if managed transparently.
  • Critical to maintain the cultural allure of the area to sustain tourism.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Financial Analyst (Sarasota, Florida)

Age: 31 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Potential for new investment avenues is exciting.
  • Risk needs to be well managed to avoid exploitation of tribal assets.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Government Policy Advisor (Tallahassee, Florida)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy aligns with empowering tribal sovereignty.
  • Need to ensure that it's implemented in a way that benefits all stakeholders involved.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $0 (Low: $0, High: $1000000)

Year 2: $0 (Low: $0, High: $1000000)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $1000000)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $1000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $1000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $1000000)

Key Considerations